Last defender back stops the ball from going over his head with his hand, while being pressured by a forward. (they are about 25 yards out) Goalie is securely in the box. Red card or Yellow card?

If the forward is running and will easily run by the defender- red. If the forward is stationary (either with his back to goal or facing the defender but not moving)- yellow.

In the first case, the attacker would be in on a sure break a way, and the defender prevented that by an intentional illegal play (just like a foul from behind on a break a way). In the second instance, there is no way to tell if the attacker could out race the defender to the ball, b/c they would both be starting from a stationary position. Also, in this case, the goalkeeper would probably get the ball even if he is planted on his line. However, it is an intentional hand ball. I am not sure exactly what the rules say but this just seems like the way it should be.

so basically, it's the ref's discretion? I watched a coach argue to the point of getting sent off the pitch yesterday(club ball). I couldn't believe he would put his team in the position of playing without a coach the entire second half, just to get a red card thrown on another player. Unbelievable...