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#97595 03/27/08 01:37 PM
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Does anyone have a way of figuring out strength of schedule besides win/loss of opponents? Just curious to see how difficult some of the top 15's schedules are.


"Boys, even if it means dying on the pitch, we must win!" Marc-Vivien Foe 1975 - 2003
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Below is a list of the top 15 AAAA teams followed by the number of scheduled games versus AAAA opponents who are currently ranked in the top 15. The second number is the average ranking of the opponents in those games.

Rank – Team - # top 15 games – average rank of top 15 opponents
1 - Wando - 6 - 9.17
2 - Lexington - 11 - 7.50
3 - Dorman – 10 - 8.70
4 - Byrnes - 9 - 7.67
5 - Spring Valley - 5 - 5.00
6 - Dutch Fork - 10 - 7.10
7 - T.L. Hanna - 4 - 5.50
8 - Fort Mill 4 - 11.50
9 - South Aiken - 7 - 7.00
10 - Irmo – 11- 6.20
11 - Spartanburg - 8 - 5.88
12 - North Augusta - 6 - 7.00
13 - Mauldin - 9 - 7.00
14 - James Island – 3 - 5.00
15 - Nation Ford – 2 - 8.00

Notice that Lexington, Dorman, Dutch Fork, and Irmo all play 10 or more games against teams with average rankings in the top 10.

I do not claim that this is a complete assessment of schedule strength. It only looks at games versus top 15 AAAA teams based on the latest rankings.

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S.A. has Irmo x 2, Lex x 2, NA x 2, and Wando but only has 6 down.

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Quote:

S.A. has Irmo x 2, Lex x 2, NA x 2, and Wando but only has 6 down.


Sorry, I missed Wando for SA. You didn't really play them, did you?

Should have been:
9 - South Aiken - 7 - 7.00

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Haha, I'm with ya brother!

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so matches against top teams in 3A or 2A don't count? I personally think that if you want to gauge strength of schedule then you look at the non-region opponents because you cannot control what region you are in. Now, teams like Mauldin, Byrnes, and Dorman are in a tough region AND they play a tough non-region schedule.

CJ #97601 03/28/08 09:06 AM
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Quote:

so matches against top teams in 3A or 2A don't count? I personally think that if you want to gauge strength of schedule then you look at the non-region opponents because you cannot control what region you are in. Now, teams like Mauldin, Byrnes, and Dorman are in a tough region AND they play a tough non-region schedule.



As I said, I did not claim it was a complete analyisis. I did the quick thing because AAAA top 15 teams are marked as such on the scoreboard. Did not have time yet to look up the AAA and AA teams. Ideally, every game should be considered. In my opinion you would have to consider region and non-region games. Even though you have no choice of region, it still affects your schedule strength and the experience your team brings to the playoffs.

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I'd have to agree. The topic is Strength of Schedule and choice of region or not - you still play them.

Now, would I have agreed last year...

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Coach P: Thank you for this; I thought it was incredibly insightful.

>>[CJ] Now, teams like Mauldin, Byrnes, and Dorman are in a tough region AND they play a tough non-region schedule.<<

Both region 2 and region 4 have four teams in the top 15. Region 2's teams not in the top 15 are Boiling Springs, Gaffney, and Hillcrest. Region 4's teams not in the top 15 are Aiken and White Knoll. Thus Irmo playing 11 top-15 teams would seem to be at least as impressive as Dorman playing 10 top-15 teams (for example.)

This is my fourth year following high school soccer closely; I'm still amazed at the incredible difference in regions in terms of competitiveness.

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Brace
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But Irmo does play Chapin which is a quality 3A girls side especially with the coaching change it seems.

There are some regions that simply are not very good year in and year out and just because you tally a great record doesn't mean that you're really accomplishing that much.


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