Yes my point, as I wrote while you were replying

, is that I felt the keeper had a better than 50/50 chance for "control" and the fwd less the 50/50 give the point of impact. The fwd interfered with the keeper's ability to control the ball much more than the keeper interfered with the fwd ability to gain control of the ball.
Basically remove the each from the play and the keeper has control at that spot, the fwd is still chasing the ball and may get a touch there but not a controlling touch (IMHO). So who really had a better than 50/50 chance for control there (using my logic I will say keeper)