(Chico) Based on what?
My original prediction was based on nothing more than wishful thinking and completely unsubstantiated circumstantial evidence. Our club's rec numbers have been increasing. We fielded more classic teams this year than ever before. We even had to cut a few kids at try-outs, which has never happened before. Obviously, we're growing. Additionally, the divisions that I've coached in the last few years have gotten bigger.
Now, I know that won't satisfy your lust for numbers, so I dug into the archives at hotstat. Looking at just U13 + U14, boys + girls, classic only, the following are the number of teams:
2003 Fall: 34
2004 Spring: 33
2004 Fall: 41
2005 Spring: 39
2005 Fall: 41
2006 Spring: 40
2006 Fall: 47
2007 Spring: 41
With the exception of that last data point, that's some evidence of yearly growth. If it continues (and that's a big if), we will someday have enough for a third division.
In any case, I'm not giving up on wishful thinking.