Not to get all "Chico" on everyone, but an interesting statistic. NW has played 7 top 10 teams this year and had 11 goals scored on them, which works out to 1.57 goals given up per quality opponent. Lexington has played 12 top 10 teams this year, and given up 17 goals, or 1.41 goals per quality opponent. I doesn't get much closer than this. I seriously doubt you are going to see a two let alone a three goal spread in this game no matter who you pick to win.
I didn't do it, but if I had you never would have known.